Events
Name | organizer | Where |
---|---|---|
MBCC “Doing Business with Mongolia seminar and Christmas Receptiom” Dec 10. 2024 London UK | MBCCI | London UK Goodman LLC |
NEWS
Gold, oil soar, shares slip as U.S. and Iran trade threats www.reuters.com
SYDNEY (Reuters) - A gauge of Asian shares was toppled from an 18-month top on Monday as heightened Middle East tensions sent investors scurrying for the safety of gold, which hit a near seven-year high while oil jumped to four-month peaks.
The United States detected a heightened state of alert by Iran’s missile forces, as President Donald Trump warned the U.S. would strike back, “perhaps in a disproportionate manner,” if Iran attacked any American person or target.
Iraq’s parliament on Sunday recommended all foreign troops be ordered out of the country after the U.S. killing of a top Iranian military commander and an Iraqi militia leader.
Spot gold XAU= surged 1.5% to $1,579.55 per ounce in jittery trade and reached its highest since April 2013.
Oil prices added to their gains on fears any conflict in the region could disrupt global supplies. [O/R]
Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose $1.46 to $70.06 a barrel, while U.S. crude CLc1 climbed $1.17 to $64.22.
“The risk of further escalation has clearly gone up - given the direct attack on Iran, Iran’s threat of retaliation and Trump’s desire to look tough - posing the threat of higher oil prices,” said Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP Capital.
“Historically though oil prices need to double to pose a severe threat to global growth and we are long way from that.”
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS slipped 0.7%.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 slid almost 2% in a sour return from holiday, while E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 fell 0.5% in very choppy trade.
Chinese shares opened in the red too, with the blue-chip CSI300 index .CSI300 off a shade while Australian shares were off 0.4%.
“Geopolitical tensions look like remaining elevated in coming days, so lending support to oil prices and keeping risk asset markets on the defensive,” said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank.
Sovereign bonds benefited from the safety bid with yields on 10-year Treasuries US10YT=RR down at 1.769% having fallen 10 basis points on Friday. Treasury futures TYc1 gained 5-1/2 ticks.
In currency markets, the Japanese yen remained the favored safe harbor courtesy of Japan’s massive holdings of foreign assets. Investors assume Japanese funds would repatriate their money during a true global crisis, pushing the yen higher.
On Monday, the dollar was last at 107.98 yen JPY=, after falling to a three-month trough of 107.78 earlier in the session. The euro likewise eased to 120.55 yen EURJPY= having hit a three-week low.
The dollar was steadier against the other majors, with the euro little changed at $1.1161 EUR=. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was holding at 96.86 .DXY.
The risk sensitive currencies of Australia AUD=D3 and New Zealand NZD=D3 were on track for their fourth straight session of losses. [AUD/]
US announces countrywide ban on flavoured e-cigs www.bbc.com
The US has announced a countrywide ban on some e-cigarette flavours amid concerns about vaping among teens.
The ban applies to mint and fruit flavours that are offered in cartridge-based e-cigarettes, like the popular pods sold by Juul.
The US will continue to allow menthol and tobacco flavours, as well as fruit flavours delivered in other ways.
The action has been under consideration for more than a year, with several states passing similar rules.
South Korea, India, Brazil are among the dozens of countries that have announced sweeping vaping bans. Others, like China, have announced restrictions.
Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said the Trump administration wanted to continue to offer adults an alternative to traditional cigarettes, while responding to concerns about growing addiction to a new product among teens.
"By prioritizing enforcement against the products that are most widely used by children, our action today seeks to strike the right public health balance," he said.
Fifty-five people have died and more than 2,500 people have been hospitalised with injuries linked to vaping, US health regulators say.
Investigators have said they believe vitamin E acetate, which is sometimes added to marijuana vaping products, is playing a role.
Citing the crisis, President Trump said in September the US would ban all e-cigarette flavours except tobacco, but the administration loosened its position after pushback from the industry.
"We have to protect our families. At the same time, it's a big industry. We want to protect the industry," Mr Trump said this week.
Juul, the biggest e-cigarette company in the US, had already pulled its flavoured pods from the market, but Thursday's action forces competitors to make a similar move, within 30 days.
Advocates for stricter rules have said that teens will switch to menthol if other options are eliminated.
But officials said they would take steps against menthol and tobacco flavoured e-cigarettes if the Food and Drug Administration sees that their use among teens is rising.
The US also recently raised the age for purchasing tobacco products to 21. E-cigarettes are also governed by those rules.
Forex reserves in Mongolia reach high record in 2019 www.menafn.com
The central bank of Mongolia said on Thursday that the foreign exchange (forex) reserves in Mongolia have reached a high record in the previous year of 2019.
Governor of the central bank, Byadran Lkhagvasuren, said that "In 2019, the Bank of Mongolia has successfully implemented measures to ensure economic stability".
Adding that "As a result, our country's forex reserves exceeded 4.2 billion U.S. dollars at the end of the year, hitting an all-time high".
The central bank of the country said that the forex reserves of Mongolia increased about 20 percent in the earlier year of 2019 from USD3.5 billion by the end of 2018.
China drops tariffs on hundreds of Pakistani products as wide-ranging trade agreement takes effect www.rt.com
A newly implemented deal between Beijing and Islamabad will eliminate tariffs on hundreds of products, a move which is expected to provide a billion-dollar boost to bilateral trade.
The Free Trade Agreement (FTA)–II, which started on Wednesday, will waive or ease 75 percent of tariffs imposed by each country, over a period of 15 years. Beijing will immediately drop tariffs on more than 300 Pakistani exports, including textiles and garments, seafood and leather.
In exchange, Islamabad has provided greater market access to Chinese raw materials and heavy machinery.
The deal, inked in April 2019, will increase Islamabad’s exports to China by between $500 million and $600 million in the short-term, according to an official from Pakistan’s Commerce Ministry. The figure is expected to rise to $4 billion over the next five years.
China copper outlook brightens with miners likely to shine most www.bloomberg.com
Chinese copper stocks are returning to favor as the outlook for demand brightens, with a late spurt delivering the best annual gain in half a decade for the largest, Jiangxi Copper Co.
What has ailed copper for most of the year largely dissipated last month as the U.S. and China closed in on an interim trade deal that will steady the global economy, and as Chinese data demonstrated that growth in the top producer and consumer of the metal is stabilizing.
The benchmark London price, a barometer for the broader economy because of the metal’s wide usage in construction and power transmission, ended last week with a sixth consecutive gain, its best run in over two years. China’s manufacturing purchasing managers index, meanwhile, showed a second straight month of expansion in December.
Still, recent gains in the stocks may deter some investors, and the winners aren’t clear-cut. The prospects for miners that dig up ore could be healthier than for the smelters refining the metal, which are burdened by overcapacity and weak margins. Many of China’s big copper firms are active in both areas. While the smelting industry has signaled it will cut output this year to rescue treatment fees that have sunk to near seven-year lows, it’s the producers of the raw material that may be best placed to benefit from resurgent demand.
Stocks such as Jiangxi Copper, China’s no. 1 smelter and second-biggest miner, still have room to rally, said Wang Chen, a partner at XuFunds Investment Management Co. in Shanghai. “Copper prices have fallen to near cost and the downsides are limited,” he said. “Easing trade tensions and global monetary loosening are also going to boost demand and prices of the metal.”
Goldman Sachs commodities team is most bullish on copper for 2020, one of a cluster of banks that expects great things from the metal. After barely rising in 2019, Citigroup predicts that Chinese copper consumption will increase 2.6% next year, powered by gains in grid investment and demand from autos.
“The global economy is rebounding amid monetary easing, boosting demand for raw materials including copper,” said Yang Kunhe, an analyst at Pacific Securities Co. “Chinese PMIs are also bottoming out as anti-cyclical measures are working. There is still big room for stimulus. All these will benefit copper demand and prices.”
Yang recommends the mainland listings of miners including Jiangxi Copper, Zijin Mining Group Co. and China Molybdenum Co. He prefers them to pure copper smelters such as Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co., which are suffering from low profitability because the global supply of raw material can’t keep up with the country’s vastly expanded processing capacity.
Zijin Mining, also a big gold producer, is the most heavily favored by analysts, with 91% surveyed by Bloomberg holding buy ratings. Tongling Nonferrous is at 83% and China Moly at 60%, with Jiangxi Copper bringing up the rear on 47%.
Zijin Mining declined to comment. Spokesmen for Tongling Nonferrous and China Moly said they couldn’t immediately comment. A spokesman for Jiangxi Copper couldn’t be reached for comment.
Jiangxi Copper will also see significant returns from its interest in the Cobre Panama mine, part of its first overseas acquisition announced last month, according to Essence Securities Co. The broker has a buy on the stock, with a six-month target of 18.8 yuan, 11% higher than its end-year close.
Cautionary voices include Xiong Qi, the deputy head of research at Windsor Capital Management Co. in Beijing. “I am not comfortable chasing the rally in cyclical stocks including copper, lithium and cobalt,” he said. “They have surged a lot already and prices may face corrections.”
...Mongolia’s economic growth surpasses ADB’s forecast www.news.mn
The Mongolian economy grew around 7.3 percent year on year in 2019, compared to 1.2 percent in 2016, said Prime Minister U.Khurelsukh in his New Year’s message.
“2019 has been a great year for Mongolia as it has achieved progress in many sectors. Particularly, the gross domestic product grew around 7.3 percent year on year in 2019, compared to 1.2 percent in 2016. And the number of livestock animals in the country exceeded 70 million in 2019 for the first time in history,” he said.
Previously, the Asian Development Bank forecasted that Mongolia’s GDP would grow by 6.7 percent in 2019.
How much do Mongolians spend on food during New Year? www.news.mn
Mongolians spend money mostly on food products during the New Year celebration.
According to the latest statistics, one Mongolian household spends an average of MNT 297,590 (about USD 109) on food per month. When the New Year celebration approaches, the spending per household on food increased to MNT 340,456 (USD 125).
Sales of some food products such as cakes, champagne and tangerines surged dramatically in December.
As the New Year is one of the most important holidays for nomadic Mongolians, they believe that plenty of food and drinks symbolize a prosperous life in the coming year.
Commercial banks told to halt lending for pensioners www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/. In his New Year’s Eve address on television, President of Mongolia announced that a decision made by the members of the National Security Council on a full and one-time repayment of all pension loans by means of boosting the economic activities of the Salkhit silver mine, with the purpose of relieving debt pressure of the elders who dedicated their lives for the development and prosperity of Mongolia.
Concerning this, President of Bank of Mongolia has issued an order for commercial banks to halt issuing pension loans for an indefinite term.
According to Bank of Mongolia, outstanding pension loan balance in a total of around 233 thousand loan accounts amounted to MNT 776 billion, as of November 2019.
Studies also showed that around 91.8 percent of senior citizens in Mongolia have accounts in Khan Bank and State Bank of Mongolia.
Each coal seam of Tavantolgoi deposit contains methane gas www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/ During the exploration, it is detected that each coal seam of Tavantolgoi deposit contains methane gas and the project implementers are working on defining its reserves. They presented and sent the result of their exploration to the Mineral Resources and Petroleum Authority.
‘Erdenes Methane’, subsidiary company of ‘Erdenes Mongol’ LLC and ‘Jade Methane’ Company of Australia established an investment agreement on exploration of coal seam methane gas in May, 2019. Moreover, the two sides commenced their work by founding a joint company ‘Methane Gas Resources’.
‘Jade methane’ company is fully covering investment for unearthing coal seam gas in Tavantolgoi deposit. Erdenes Methane plans to drill five holes this year while geologists from Australia studied geological formation of the deposit and defined sites for extraction. The joint company has drilled 500-900 meter deep holes in eight sites. A total of 5207.7 m holes have been drilled and full test for methane gas has been made in samples of 618 pieces of coal.
Methane gas is smokeless, odourless and burns 98 percent. Therefore, if it is introduced into use, it is considered to resolve air pollution issue in Ulaanbaatar city aside from ensuring domestic fuel demand at 100 percent. Huge amount of water is collected in the process of unearthing methane gas. The collected water is possible to be supplied to coal preparation plants operating in territory of Umnugobi aimag.
In addition, experts calculated that methane gas demand at international market is expected to be raised by 5.8 percent by 2021 compared with five years ago.
This dad took his son to Mongolia just to get him off his phone www.bbc.com
How do you get a teen to put down their phone and talk to you? Jamie Clarke went all the way to Mongolia to find out.
Riding through a remote valley in Mongolia on the back of his motorbike, adventurer Jamie Clarke let the hum of the engine and the wind echo in his mind while his thoughts wandered.
After several hours, he pulled over to shake off his helmet and take a look at the map.
This is what he loved about adventuring - the solitude, the landscape and the feeling of being in charge of your own destiny.
But when his 18-year-old son pulled up right behind him on his own motorcycle, he had a different take on the long ride they had just finished.
For him, being alone in his thoughts was novel and unsettling.
"Oh my God that was terrible! I can't be left with my brain like that!"
Mr Clarke, a lifelong skier, mountaineer and trekker had felt like he was losing touch with his son Khobe, who was always on his phone at their home in Calgary, Alberta.
He blames himself, partly. He has a smart phone just like everyone else, and he enjoyed playing games with his son on his Blackberry when he was small.
"If there's any addiction that we have today as individuals and as a family, we (the parents) perpetuated it," Mr Clarke told the BBC. "They're cool devices, but we began to feel like they were controlling us and not vice-versa."
The issue had come to a head a few years before, when Mr Clarke went with his family to a remote ski lodge for a weekend to celebrate his 50th birthday.
The area had no wi-fi and no cell reception.
"I had never before that experienced a weekend without my phone, essentially," Khobe told the BBC. "It was very weird for me."
Khobe admits that at the time he was angry that he had to go and miserable because without Snapchat or Instagram, he had no idea what his friends back home were up to.
That got his father thinking about the role technology had come to play in his family life - and about how to fix it.
For a long time, he had dreamed of travelling across Mongolia on a bike. Now that his son was older, why not do it with him?
The parents raising their kids on the road
'I wish mum's phone was never invented'
Confessions of a smartphone addict
About a year ago, he proposed it to Khobe. It wasn't an automatic hit.
"I said no pretty quickly," Khobe says.
"But it kind of turned into this fun idea… it became such a thing of preparation that it was very exciting to go do it."
Khobe got his motorcycle licence and the two practiced longer trips. While his father has climbed Everest twice, Khobe had never climbed a mountain so he had to practice that, too.
They left on 28 July, and over the course of the next month travelled more than 2,200 kilometres (1,367 miles) across Mongolia by motorbike, horse and camel.
Although the journey was certainly Instagrammable, they refrained from posting their photos online until after they returned.
Khobe says being away from his phone was a challenge.
"I think the whole time I was pretty consumed by missing my phone," he says. "You realise how boring everything gets. When I'm bored I can just turn on YouTube or watch Netflix. What am I going to do, look at the stars and twiddle my thumbs?"
But he also says getting to know his dad was worth it, especially the time they spent off the road in their tents or yurts just cooking and bonding.
"I was surprised that when he's away from a work environment and family that he acts maybe closer my age," he says.
Similarly, Mr Clarke was surprised to learn how mature his son was when they weren't confined to their typical father-son parenting dynamic.
"It helped me see Khobe in a new way. I saw him as a kid who kept leaving his jacket on the table, not cleaning up the dishes," he says. "And I was able to see him step up to being a young man, and I was impressed by how well he was able to perform under pressure."
You don't have to go all to the other side of the world just to bond with your children, says Caroline Knorr, the parenting editor for Common Sense Media, a non-profit organisation that educates parents about media and technology.
"Parents can establish screen-free time zones in the house all year round, but especially around vacations," she says.
She says try and do fun things during unplugged time, like play a game, go for a walk or even watch a movie.
It's easy around the holidays to find yourself reaching for your phone while you're lying around the sofa, but Ms Knorr says it's important to model the behaviour you want your children to adopt.
Parents struggle to handle children's tech habits
A new generation discovers the art of getting lost
"The really important thing is for parents to communicate why that's valuable. Why it's a family value to have unconnected, unplugged time as human beings," she says.
"Say explicitly 'I'm turning off my phone so we can have family time'."
Ms Knorr says it's also important to not demonise technology, or your children for using it.
"I think a lot of time parents become really worried that 'it's the media that's changing my kids' behaviour'," she says.
"But really what is leading that behaviour is a natural normal part of development where kids are becoming interested in pop culture and not as interested in family time."
This natural part of teenagehood is compounded by social apps like Tik Tok and Snapchat, however, which are designed to keep users on for as long as possible in order to make money from advertising.
"It's a double whammy," Ms Knorr says.
Khobe says "tent life" was his favourite part of the trip
Mr Clarke says now that their trip is over, he and his son are trying to apply some of the lessons they learned to their everyday life.
"I've got to realise that technology is valuable and use it, and he's realising how consuming it is. And maybe both of us need to remind ourselves who's in control - you or the app," he says.
Khobe says he's trying to make technology something he "wants to do, not has to do".
"When you're in a group of people and you're supposed to have social interaction time, but everyone's on their phone, that's when I've tried to change my habits," he says.
"It's rude to not give people your undivided attention."
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