Events
Name | organizer | Where |
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MBCC “Doing Business with Mongolia seminar and Christmas Receptiom” Dec 10. 2024 London UK | MBCCI | London UK Goodman LLC |
NEWS
Copper supply crunch earlier than predicted — experts www.mining.com
Copper demand will surpass supply earlier than expected, with the first clear signs coming as early as next year, experts attending the 17th World’s Copper Conference being held this week in Santiago, Chile, said.
According to Arnaud Soirat, chef executive for copper and diamonds at Rio Tinto, increased consumption from new technologies, including electric vehicles, will drive demand for the metal and its by-products, he said.
“We anticipate global market supply and demand will keep close to balance in 2019 and 2020,” he said, noting that after that the deficit will become increasingly evident.
The outlook is widely shared by other experts, including CRU analyst Hamish Sampson. According to him, unless new investments arise, existing mine production will drop from 20 million tonnes to below 12 million tonnes by 2034, leading to a supply shortfall of more than 15 million tonnes.
Over 200 copper mines currently in operations will reach the end of their productive life before 2035.
The situation looks even worse when considering that over 200 copper mines currently in operations will reach the end of their productive life before 2035, Sampson said on Monday.
Only if every single copper project currently in development or being studied for feasibility is brought online before then, including most discoveries that have not yet reached the evaluation stage, the market could meet projected demand, the consultant said.
Colin Hamilton, managing director of commodities research at BMO Capital Markets, fully agrees with Sampson. He told MINING.com on Tuesday that even when there was an apparent rise in copper inventories on exchanges around the world, which somehow has dented confidence in the metal, the outlook is very positive.
“What we’ve seen is a shift from invisible to visible stockpiles,” Hamilton said, adding that Chinese inventories so far this year are at the lowest levels in recent times.
Delivery to exchanges, however, does weigh on prices because of data-driven investors, which adds to the facts that shareholders are still somewhat opposed to companies investing in new projects and exploration. “They just want returns,” Hamilton said.
He believes the expected copper supply crunch will become “much more real” in 2019, due to the lack of mega-projects coming on stream before the mid-2020s and as global production will peak by the second half of next year.
WTO discusses Mongolia-Japan economic partnership agreement www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/ Member States of the World Trade Organization (WTO) have discussed Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) established between Mongolia and Japan.
Mongolian delegates to the discussion was headed by L.Purevsuren, Ambassador of Mongolia to the Swiss Confederation and Permanent Representative of Mongolia to the United Nations Office and other International Organizations in Geneva. Establishing the first Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with Japan is new for Mongolian trade policy and it is bringing marked changes. Purpose of the agreement is to increase trade and investment between the two countries, exchange technologies, diversify export and strengthen business relations, emphasized Ambassador, Permanent Representative L.Purevsuren in his speech, also informing that it will pay attention to implement the agreement mutually beneficial in future.
During the discussion, delegations from Mexico, the European Union, the United States, Taiwan and Canada expressed their views on the agreement. The EU and U.S part appreciated the reflection of online trade in the agreement considering it contributive to move forward issues in Multilateral Trade Agreements in the future. Moreover, they requested information on actions to improve business environment.
Negotiations on establishing the EPA commenced in June, 2012 and it came into effect on June 7, 2016, as signing the agreement on February, 2015.
B.Batchimeg
Foreign trade turnover increased 25 percent www.gogo.mn
A result of foreign trade for the first 3 months 2018 has been based on 87946 export, and 43548 import customs declarations and other non customs resources of information. 1540 export and 724 import declarations belong to the goods crossed through seasonal ports.
A result of total turnover of foreign trade for the first 3 months 2018 amounted 2612.9 mln.USD which increased in 536.7 mln.USD or 25.9 percent against the same period of the last year. Export exceeded import in 351.9 mln.USD and foreign trade balance became positive.
The volume of export is 1482.4 mln.USD which means increase by 14.0 percent if compared with the same period of the last year.
99 percent of exported goods comes to transactions paid in hard currency.
In total export minerals amounted 1252.5 mln.USD or 84.5%; natutal or cultured pearls, precious or semi-precious stones amounted 124.5 mln.USD or 8.4%; export of raw hides and skins, leather, furskins and articles thereof equaled to 6.3 mln.USD or 0.4%, textiles and textile articles 26.7 mln.USD or 1.8% and in total 93.1% of export came to these goods.
Сrude oil, iron ores and concentrates, copper concentrate and zinc ores and concentrates were exported to China (100.0%), coal were exported to China (96.6%). Flouspar concentrates were exported to China (49.7%), the Russian Federation (50.3%); leather of bovine or equine animals were exported to China; (76.8%) of combed cashmere to China; most of exported raw hides and skins, washed cashmere comes to China, and gold were exported to United Kingdom (100.0%) and 91.3 percent of total export belong to these goods.
Mongolia has exported goods to 48 foreign countries including China (86.7%), United Kingdom (8.9%), the Russian Federation (1.2%) and 96.8% of whole export comes to these countries.
Goods and raw materials with value of 1130.5 mln.USD were imported and the volume of total import increased by 354.5 mln.USD or 45.6% in comparison with the same period of 2017.
Imported goods consist of transactions paid in hard currency (94.1%), goods supplied by foreign loan (0.9%), goods imported as foreign aid (0.4%), goods imported as foreign investment (3.8%), processed goods (0.7%).
In total import machinery, mechanic equipment and parts thereof, electric appliances, parts thereof amounted with value of 251.3 mln.USD (22.2%), minerals-278.8 mln.USD (24.7%) and among them oil products were 231.0 mln.USD (82.8%), products of animal or vegetable origin and foodstuff 155.0 mln.USD (13.7%), vehicles and aircraft, parts thereof-154.6 mln.USD (13.7%), plastics and rubber and articles thereof 41.7 mln.USD (3.7%), base metals and products thereof – 87.9 mln.USD (7.8%), chemical products – 69.5 mln.USD (6.2%) and 92.0% of the total import comes to these goods and products.
Goods with value of 4972.0 thous.USD have been imported as foreign aid from international financial and economic organizations and donor-countries. If we take into consideration the countries of origin Switzerland (41.3%), China (10.8%), Republic of Korea (16.8%), Japan (8.8%).
The goods, donated from donor countries, came from the Switzerland (32.9%), China (9.0%), Japan (14.1%), Republic of Korea (12.8%) and the USA (11.1%).
Goods worth 9870.8 thous.USD were imported as foreign loan by the international financial and economic organizations and donor-countries and these goods were originating from different countries such as Japan (42.8%), China (42.0%). (Appendix 10).
Total loan goods were imported as government loans. If we take into consideration the lenders, loan lent from Japan (54.2%) and from China (37.3%).
In total goods with value of 42.5 mln.USD were imported to the charter fund of joint ventures and companies with foreign investment and these goods were originating from different countries such as China (54.9%) and the Russian Federation (42.6%) (Appendix 12).
Mongolia has imported goods originating from 112 different countries including the Russian Federation (32.0%), China (31.6%), the USA (3.9%), Japan (8.7%), Republic of Korea (4.1%) and Federal Republic of Germany (2.9%) and goods from these countries are equal to 83.2% of total import.
...IMF expects three structural benchmarks to be approved in Spring session www.ubinfo.mn
As a part of USD 5.5 billion multi-donor financing package of Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has completed the third review and enabled Mongolia to draw about USD 30.55 million, bringing total disbursements under the arrangement to about USD 152.79 million. Earlier this week, the IMF staff team disclosed the report for the third review under the EFF.
The team foresees that growth is expected to remain strong in 2018 but, amid still high public debt, several risks remain including changes in global commodity demand and bottlenecks at the border. The report highlights that all end-December quantitative performance criteria were met, generally by large margins. “Of the 10 structural benchmarks for the review, five were met, three (tax administration legislation and a recapitalization law) will likely be passed in the Spring parliamentary session and two are unlikely to be implemented. In addition, the authorities reversed three fiscal measures considered during previous reviews,” assessed the IMF staff team on the program implementation.
Heenam Choi, Executive Director for Mongolia, remarked “The EFF program, official sector support and a favorable external environment wahave supported a strong economic recovery in Mongolia. The authorities undertook extensive economic reforms that have strengthened macroeconomic fundamentals. As a result, the fiscal deficit and public debt are decreasing at a much faster pace than projected at the time the EFF was approved. Inflation is within the target range; the exchange rate has stabilized and foreign reserves have continued to rise.
The authorities’ commitment to the program objectives, fiscal discipline and prudent monetary policy have played a key role in the economic revival of the country.” He underlined that quantitative targets for the end of 2017 were exceeded by considerable margins. “Most structural benchmarks were either met or, in the case of the revised taxation laws and bank recapitalization law, will be implemented with a short delay. Some policy measures were revised after widespread public objection. The authorities are aware that there is no room for complacency. They are committed to pursuing a tight fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy, together with implementation of reforms under the program to strengthen macroeconomic stability, build buffers and promote inclusive growth,” concluded Mr Heenom Choi.
Canadian miner A-OK despite U.S. sanctions against Russian companies www.mining.com
Canadian miner Kinross Gold (TSX:G) (NYSE:KGC) issued a press release today stating that its mining operations in Russia continue to function according to plan and remain unaffected by the new sanctions announced by the United States on April 6, 2018.
Last Friday, the U.S. Treasury Department imposed sanctions on seven Russian oligarchs including metal magnate Oleg Deripaska, as well as 12 companies they own or control. Seventeen senior Russian government officials were also blacklisted. According to the Trump administration, all of them have been profiting from the Kremlin's “malign activities” around the world.
Deripaska, estimated by Forbes magazine to have a net worth of $6.7 billion, is the main owner of the conglomerate EN+, which in turn is the co-owner of some of the world’s biggest metals producers, Nornickel and Rusal, the latter being responsible for producing around 6 per cent of the world’s aluminium.
Despite analysts predicting that, given how wide his reach is, sanctions against Deripaska may cause a turmoil in the mining world, particularly for local and foreign firms operating in Russia, Kinross made an effort today to stand clear from such possibility. “Kinross has successfully operated in Russia for over 20 years and has proactively developed and diversified its procurement and logistics structures in the country. The Company continues to focus on responsibly operating its two mines and providing value to employees, host communities and shareholders,” the miner’s statement reads.
The Toronto-based company owns the Kupol high-grade underground mine, located in the far-eastern region of Chukotka and whose gold equivalent production reached 580,451 oz. in 2017; and the Dvoinoye mine, located approximately 100 kilometres north of our Kupol and whose gold equivalent production last year was of 580,451 oz. The two operations are responsible for almost 20 per cent of Kinross’ gold output.
“Kinross will continue to closely monitor sanction legislation in Canada, the U.S. and the European Union so that Kinross and its subsidiaries remain in compliance,” management added in today's communiqué.
Despite Kinross' statement, its shares fell today by 8.73%. "Basically, Kinross Gold shares were punished because it has mines in Russia, and Russia was an unpopular word in the market," trader Vladimir Zernov wrote on Seeking Alfa. "I don’t see any logic in such a move. If anything, gold and gold producers’ shares should be rising on increasing geopolitical tensions," he added.
US-China trade: Xi warns against 'Cold War mentality' www.bbc.com
Chinese President Xi Jinping has warned against a "Cold War mentality" as he vowed to open up parts of the country's economy.
His speech at the Boao Forum for Asia - often referred to as Asia's Davos - appears to be an attempt to calm a trade row with the US.
He pledged to cut import tariffs on cars and relax requirements for foreign firms investing in China.
But there were few specifics on when the changes would happen.
Mr Xi made no specific references to the ongoing spat with the Washington which has seen both sides announce tit-for-tat plans to slap tariffs on imports.
But in a veiled swipe at US President Donald Trump's America First stance, Mr Xi called for openness.
"In today's world, the trend of peace and cooperation is moving forward and a Cold War mentality and zero-sum game thinking are outdated.
"Paying attention only to one's own community without thinking of others can only lead into a wall. And we can only achieve win-win results by insisting on peaceful development and working together."
President Trump, whose plan to hit hundreds of Chinese products with duties have stoked fears of a trade war, has yet to react.
Washington claims China has failed to fulfil earlier promises to open up the economy - including putting up barriers to international companies accessing markets and forcing investors to form joint ventures and hand over intellectual property.
China's President Xi Jinping likes to position himself as the champion of globalisation. He consistently does that when he's making speeches at international forums.
And what better time to do that than now, against the backdrop of the ongoing US-China trade row.
President Xi says a cold war and zero sum mentality are out of place and that dialogue is the way to resolve disputes.
What he most likely means by that of course - although he never specifically says it - is that US President Trump's recent rhetoric on trade and unfair practices by China aren't in keeping with the way reasonable adults should behave.
In contrast to the bluster and fiery barbs evident in President Trump's tweets, President Xi put forward the face of a new China, and announced steps to make China's economy more open.
Amongst the things he talked about included lowering import tariffs for vehicles, and improving transparency, and intellectual property rights protection.
He also said China genuinely doesn't want a trade surplus.
But while on the surface the promises sound grand, some of this is stuff we've heard before. So it's hard to see just how much more access China will give foreign firms in reality.
But will President Trump see President Xi's conciliatory speech as a sign that he's won some concessions for the US side? Wait for his next tweet!
The Trump-Kim summit could take place in Mongolia's Ulaanbaatar — here's what the coldest capital city on earth is like www.businessinsider.com
The summit between President Donald Trump and North Korea's leader Kim Jong Un may very well take place in Ulaanbaatar, the capital of Mongolia.
US officials familiar with the secret, high level planning talks for the bilateral meeting told CNN that Kim would prefer to host it in Pyongyang, but that Ulaanbaatar is being floated as neutral ground.
Former and current presidents of Mongolia also seem open to the plan. Mongolia has hosted meetings between North Korea and Japan in the past and is on friendly terms with most countries, including its neighbors Russia and China, as well as both the US and North Korea.
Take a look around the city that could soon play host to Trump and Kim.
http://www.businessinsider.com/photos-ulaanbaatar-city-coul…
Mongolia and China agree to move major projects forward www.montsame.mn
Beijing /MONTSAME/ Mongolia and China agreed to mark the 70th anniversary of diplomatic relations, which will fall next year, with a grand celebration.
The matter was touched upon during the official talks between Prime Minister U.Khurelsukh and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on April 9 in Beijing. The sides exchanged views on broadening bilateral cooperation in political, economic, trade and humanitarian spheres and international and regional matters.
While expressing mutual satisfaction with the development of bilateral relations in line with mutual respect of national independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity of the two countries, the Prime Ministers of Mongolia and China expressed their readiness to maintain the frequency of mutual high-level visits and intensify political and parliamentary exchange.
Within the objective to increase bilateral trade turnover to USD 10 billion by 2020, the dignitaries agreed to intensify operations of cooperation mechanisms, correlate development strategies, eradicate non-tariff barriers in bilateral trade, strengthen cooperation in industrial capacity and investment and reinforce the implementation of projects focusing on economic development and household livelihoods. For instance, the sides reached agreement on launching Chinese Government-funded projects in the nearest future, including on the Ulaanbaatar Wastewater Treatment Plant and ger area re-planning .
The sides also emphasized the potentials in bilateral cooperation on sectors such as agriculture, energy, mining and transit transport and backed the activation of relevant dialogue by corresponding bodies. Furthermore, the Prime Ministers expressed their commitment towards the development of trilateral cooperation with Russia and moving forward the priority projects between the three countries.
Kh.Aminaa
China, Mongolia to explore free trade agreement www.reuters.com
SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China and Mongolia should begin research into a free trade agreement and speed up the launch of a cross-border cooperation zone in a bid to make use of the two countries complimentary advantages, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said Monday.
According to the official Xinhua news agency, Li told Mongolian Prime Minister Ukhnaa Khurelsukh in Beijing the two sides should work together more in industry, agriculture and animal husbandry, energy and minerals, transportation, pollution control and infrastructure construction.
Landlocked Mongolia sells the bulk of its exports to China, its southern neighbour, and it has also been trying to make greater use of China's transport network as well as its commodities exchanges in order to gain access to foreign markets.
Mongolia aims to become a "transit corridor" to facilitate trade, as well as oil and gas deliveries, between Russia and China, and has sought funding for transportation projects from the China-backed Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.
But some nationalist politicians in Mongolia remain suspicious of Beijing's intentions, and have expressed concern that China's growing economic might could further enhance its political dominance in the region.
(Reporting by David Stanway; Editing by Michael Perry)
China, Mongolia to promote synergy of development strategies www.xinhuanet.com
BEIJING, April 9 (Xinhua) -- China and Mongolia on Monday agreed to link the Belt and Road Initiative and Mongolia's Prairie Road development initiative to benefit the two peoples.
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang made the remarks while holding talks with Mongolian Prime Minister Ukhnaa Khurelsukh in Beijing.
Li said China and Mongolia are important neighboring countries, good friends and partners, and China appreciates the Mongolian government for reiterating its firm adherence to the one-China policy.
China is willing to work with Mongolia to set the direction of bilateral ties in a strategic height and from a long-term perspective, consolidate political mutual trust, respect each others' core interests and major concerns, maintain high-level exchanges, strengthen parliamentary exchanges, enhance party-to-party exchanges, and communicate more in regional and international affairs, Li said.
Li said he hopes that the development of China-Mongolia ties will benefit both countries and regional peace, stability, and prosperity.
Both China and Mongolia face an important mission to develop their economies and improve peoples' well-being, Li said, noting that China is ready to work with Mongolia to make use of the complementary advantages of their economy.
Li called for initiating feasibility research on a China-Mongolia free trade agreement and speed up the building of a cross-border economic cooperation zone.
Li called on both sides to cooperate more in industrial capacity, investment, agriculture and animal husbandry, energy and minerals, transit transport, shantytown renovation, pollution control, and urban and port infrastructure construction.
Next year will mark the 70th anniversary of establishing diplomatic ties, Li said, calling on both sides to strengthen people-to-people exchanges in youth, culture, media, and tourism to consolidate the social and public opinion foundation for China-Mongolia friendship.
Khurelsukh said Mongolia gives priority to the friendly relationship with China in its foreign policy, and the Mongolian government firmly adheres to the one-China policy.
Mongolia agrees that Tibet and Taiwan are inalienable parts of the Chinese territory, and issues concerning Tibet and Taiwan are China's internal affairs, Khurelsukh said.
Khurelsukh said Mongolia is willing to work with China to enhance political mutual trust, maintain high-level visits, deepen economic cooperation, integrate their development strategies, and have more pragmatic cooperation.
Prior to the talks, Li held a welcome ceremony for Khurelsukh.
After the talks, they jointly witnessed the signing of several bilateral cooperation documents in fields such as economy and trade, people-to-people exchanges, industrial capacity, and environmental protection.
China's top legislator Li Zhanshu also met with Khurelsukh on Monday afternoon, and both sides agreed to share experience in governance and hold more legislative exchanges.
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