Events
Name | organizer | Where |
---|---|---|
MBCC “Doing Business with Mongolia seminar and Christmas Receptiom” Dec 10. 2024 London UK | MBCCI | London UK Goodman LLC |
NEWS

Non-mining development may flatten growth in 2020 www.zgm.mn
Bank of Mongolia (BoM) comments that the future of megaprojects that would support primary sectors and the question of increasing foreign direct investment remain unclear. Plus, the bank has estimated the economy to slow down in 2020 due to non-mining industry production. The upside effect includes Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi IPO and oil refinery project.
The current account and investment expenditure are expected to increase this year. According to the BoM, this will stimulate the growth of non-mining sectors and will raise the economy slightly above expectation. These sectors include construction, energy, processing, and retails. Although the economic growth is expected to be stable this year on the back of the progress in non-mining; however, the same growth driver will be the downside limitation for the economy in 2020, noted the BoM. On the other hand, the Government has a more optimistic expectation of 8 percent GDP growth based on four factors, namely the tax reform, budget investment, wage raise, and the construction of the oil refinery. The bill on tax reform has been submitted to the Parliament, but it has been put on hold on the order list.
As for international organizations, the outlook on economic growth is around 6-6.6 percent this year. In specific, the Asian Development Bank forecasts the GDP to rise 6.1 percent, which is 0.3 percentage point lower than the last year’s outlook. The bank previously explained that the investment in mining will continue on further; however, the growth will start to flatten.
International Monetary Fund predicted a 6 percent growth during the sixth review under the extended arrangement. Furthermore, the World Bank Group identified the key challenges to the economy, which includes the settlement of coal transportation issue at the border, growing uncertainty in politics and policy, as well as the adverse impact on the continuation of megaprojects prompted by the 2020 election.

Wheat incentives to be MNT41000-45500 per ton www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar/MONTSAME/ The Cabinet on January 23 defined incentive amount for wheat supplied to domestic flour factories, Crop Farming Support Fund and government reserve.
Specifically, I-III class wheat will receive incentive of MNT 45.5 thousand per ton and IV class MNT 41 thousand.
Last year, wheat was sown on 343.9 thousand hectares nationwide. As a result, 428.6 thousand tons of crops were harvested, of which 280 thousand tons of good quality wheat were supplied. With this volume of harvest, domestic flour needs can be ensured.

US to pursue Huawei executive extradiction www.nhk.or.jp
The US Justice Department says it will formally seek the extradition of a Chinese tech giant executive from Canada.
Huawei's Meng Wanzhou was arrested in Vancouver last month at the request of US authorities. It's alleged she was involved in company violations of American sanctions against Iran. Meng is currently out on bail, and Washington reportedly has to issue an extradition request until the end of January.
Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Hua Chunying says that Beijing urge Washington to retract the arrest warrant and not make a formal extradition request to Ottawa.
She also says the US and Canada have infringed on the safety and rights of a Chinese citizen.
Meng's case has caused friction between Ottawa and Beijing. Two Canadians have been arrested in China on spying allegations since her arrest.
Earlier this week, more than 140 academics and former diplomats released an open letter to the Chinese president calling for their release.

Burns night to be celebrated for the eighth year in Ulaanbaatar www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/ ‘Burns Night’ which is celebrated in commemoration of great Scottish poet Robert Burns is to take place for the eighth year in Ulaanbaatar city. The British Embassy in Mongolia, the Mongolian-British Chamber of Commerce and Honorary Consulate for Mongolia in Scotland will jointly organize the event on January 26.
The event plays an important role to expanding business cooperation between the two countries besides promoting Scottish culture, poetry and cuisine. Member of the UK Parliament John Grogan will take part in this year's event.
About the event, British Ambassador to Mongolia Philip Malone said that this celebration has great significance to the people of Scotland and it is celebrated in many countries. Tradition and culture of Scotland has important role to strengthening relations between Mongolia and the United Kingdom.

Major stock holder of Golomt Bank detained www.news.mn
On Monday night, Anti-Corruption Agents of the NPK arrested Mr. D. Bayasgalan, who is a major stockholder at the Golomt Bank. While other law enforcement officers searched his home and office, they took him to Detention Centre 461 where he was questioned in connection to the ongoing corruption case against D. Dorligiav.
Former Justice Minister D. Dorligiav has been accused of extorting $4 million from T.Ganbold while he was working as Prosecutor General. Ganbold is a director of Altan Dormod Mongol, which is a mining corporation.
D.Dorligjav has already admitted that the money was transferred through Golomt Bank into his younger brother D.Baatar’s account. They have been both been kept in custody at Detention Centre 461 since since 8 January.

Govt to reduce debt-to-GDP ratio by 8.1 percent in 2019 www.zgm.mn
Ministry of Finance Khurelbaatar Chimed has announced to cut debt-to-GDP ratio by 8.1 percentage point, to 55.3 percent this year.
As of the third quarter of 2018, the gross debt of the Mongolian Government stood at MNT 21.4 trillion. Last year, the country was spending one-eighth of budget expenditure on debt interests, which is estimated to be around one-thirteenth this year following the expected payment. The 2019 budget allocates MNT 856.6 billion on loan interests. The Government is expected to settle high-amount debts starting from 2021, including USD 500 million of Mazaalai bond in 2021 and USD 1 billion of Chinggis bond in 2022. Minister of Finance also noted that the Government is preventing high-amount debt repayments to coincide in a same year.
“Repaying large amounts of debt in one year depreciates the MNT rate, which is difficult to stregthen later on. Therefore, the ministry is making an effort in equalizing debt repayments for each years,” remarked Mr. Khurelbaatar.
This year, the Government of Mongolia is planning to raise MNT 1.2 trillion investment from foreign loans and aids, of which loans amount to MNT 1.1 trillion. 38 percent of the gross amount will be expended on oil production and improving energy supply, 20 percent on renovation of wastewater treatment plant and reduction of environmental pollution.
On the contrary, the budget was planned a MNT 1.9 trillion in deficit, which is 5.4 percent of GDP.

Inner Mongolia's trade with BRI participating countries reach 69.93 billion yuan in 2018 www.eng.yidaiyilu.gov.cn
The import and export volume of north China's Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region reached 103.44 billion yuan (about 15.3 billion U.S. dollars) last year, a year-on-year increase of 9.9 percent, local authorities said Friday.
It is the first time the region's foreign trade volume has surpassed 100 billion yuan, according to the customs authorities of Hohhot, the regional capital.
In breakdown, the region's import volume rose 7.5 percent year on year to 65.57 billion yuan, while its export volume reached 37.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 14.4 percent.
Jiao Zhijun, a regional customs official, said Mongolia, Russia and Australia were the region's major trade partners last year, accounting for 56.2 percent of the region's foreign trade volume.
Jiao added that Inner Mongolia saw its foreign trade with countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative reach 69.93 billion yuan in 2018, up 14.6 percent year on year.
Steel, organic chemicals, and mechanical and electrical products were among the region's major exports, while its major imports include coal, copper and iron ores.

Mongolia fog envelops investor view www.atimes.com
Mongolia bond positions turned underweight in global emerging market strategies, as tens of thousands of Ulaanbaatar protesters in bitter winter cold called for lifting the “fog” in a play on words combining the initials of the Mongolian People’s Party (MPP) and the Democratic Party (DP). The action followed another spate of scandal revelations, including the parliamentary speaker selling government positions and insider abuse of a decades-old discount mortgage lending scheme, where connected officials and families were able to earn tenfold returns on cheap money.
With the popular discontent new splinter parties plan to enter parliamentary elections in 2020, and MPP Prime Minister Ukhnaagin Khurelsukh and his cabinet are likely to face another vote of confidence after an attempt narrowly missed in November, just a year after a predecessor was ousted for corruption. He claimed wealthy business executives were behind the move, but independent media commentators now urge resignation as the only route to safeguarding democracy. Russia and China, combining their infrastructure and raw materials interests in an “economic corridor,” also impose governance strains. Despite 6% gross domestic product growth, Mongolia’s trade surplus with them was down 35% to $925 million through the third quarter of last year.
In October, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released another $35 million under its 3-year $430 million program anchoring $5.5 billion in overall bilateral and multilateral assistance, amid banking system and foreign reserve warnings. At the same time, Anglo-Australian miner Rio Tinto announced a delay in the $4.5 billion expansion of the Oyu Tolgoi gold and copper joint venture, where the state has a one-third stake. With mechanical challenges the first output may not come until late next year, and the operation could again be complicated by profit-sharing demands reflected in the country’s dozen-place drop in the latest World Bank Doing Business rankings. Metal and coal export reliance spotlight these flagship projects, with limited diversification into other industries like processed textiles from cashmere. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development estimates almost $2 billion in earnings potential from garment added value, and is advising local herders and cooperatives.
Ratings agencies maintained their “B” grade, with 6% range growth again expected in 2019 on inflation just above that level. The budget ran a primary surplus last year, and the central bank adopted a tightening stance in September, after selling 10% of $3 billion in reserves to support the depreciating tugrik currency against the dollar. The IMF review cautioned on a return to 20% annual credit extension even with the institution of macro-prudential limits, such as maximum debt service ratios for consumer and mortgage loans. It noted that bad asset classification and recapitalization exercises were incomplete, and that the Financial Action Task Force continued to assign low anti-money laundering scores. Continued decline in world gold and copper prices and the Chinese shift to national coal production will widen the current account deficit, and fiscal loosening this year can pose medium-term public debt danger should the sovereign attempt to re-access markets under higher global interest rates, the IMF report implied.
In November, the IMF also fielded a mission in Uzbekistan, and flagged economic “overheating” with 5% growth and 15% inflation, as the current account surplus slid to a 3% of GDP deficit. Sudden price, trade and exchange rate liberalization under President Shavkat Mirzoyev sparked energy and water shortages, and agriculture suffered bad weather. Public wages were hiked 10% to compensate, as the central bank raised rates above 15% to fight government-directed credit expansion. Quasi-fiscal operations, especially through the Reconstruction and Development Fund, left a 2.5% deficit in 2018.
n 2019 tax reform is a priority to close the gap, including better collection of value-added and luxury levies. State enterprise restructuring and divestiture is also on the agenda, with possible sales on the 25 year old Tashkent Stock Exchange. With 125 listed companies, only 10 are liquid, with daily turnover under $100,000, according to frontier market specialists. Price-earnings ratios are under five times, and foreign investment in banks may soon be authorized, while public and private equity launches are in preparation through Hong Kong and London. Government leaders were in Germany in mid-January on a road show touting financial services, tourism, food processing and auto-making prospects, although specific deals were foggy.
...
China-Europe rail freight via Mongolia grows www.container-news.com
North China’s Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region saw a growth of over 30 percent in the number of inbound and outbound China-Europe freight trains, local authorities said Monday, Jan. 22.
Customs statistics show that a total of 2,853 inbound and outbound China-Europe freight trains passed through the ports of Erenhot and Manzhouli in 2018, up 34.2 percent.
The number of standard containers carried on the trains reached 193,000, up 29.1 percent, with products worth a total of 11.51 billion U.S. dollars, up 28.8 percent.

Mongolia's foreign exchange reserves reach 3.5 bln USD by end of 2018 www.xinhuanet.com
ULAN BATOR, Jan. 22 (Xinhua) -- Mongolia's foreign exchange reserves rose to 3.5 billion U.S. dollars by the end of 2018, the highest level in six years, the president of the country's central bank said Tuesday.
The figure is up almost 20 percent from the previous year, Nadmid Bayartsaikhan told local media.
The growth was attributed to the implementation of the three-year Extended Funding Facility of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Mongolia and higher commodity prices in international markets, Bayartsaikhan said.
The IMF program was approved in 2017, aiming to stabilize the economy and establish the basis for a more sustainable and inclusive growth.
Mongolia's foreign currency reserves have more than doubled since the start of the program, according to the Bank of Mongolia.
"But our country's gross external debts stands at 27.9 billion dollars, which indicates that the country is still under heavy external debt risks. So, we need to focus more on consistently increasing foreign currency reserves," Bayartsaikhan said, noting that the appropriate level of foreign exchange reserves is a guarantee of any country's financial independence.
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