Events
Name | organizer | Where |
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MBCC “Doing Business with Mongolia seminar and Christmas Receptiom” Dec 10. 2024 London UK | MBCCI | London UK Goodman LLC |
NEWS
Exports decreased by 17.1 percent compared to previous year www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar/MONTSAME/. In the first seven months of 2020, Mongolia traded with 135 countries from all over the world, and the total trade turnover reached USD 6.7 billion, of which USD 3.8 billion were exports and USD 2.9 billion were imports. Total foreign trade turnover decreased by USD 1.3 billion (16.7%), of which exports decreased by USD 782.8 million (17.1%) and imports decreased by USD 565.2 million (16.1%) compared to the same period of the previous year.
In July 2020, exports and imports reached to USD 960.5 million and USD 481.9 million, respectively. Compared to the previous month, exports increased by USD 138.6 million (16.9%) and imports increased by USD 14.2 million (3.0%).
The foreign trade balance was in surplus of USD 846.6 million in the first seven months of 2020, while it was in surplus of USD 1.1 billion in the first seven months of 2019, decreased by USD 217.7 million from the same period of the previous year.
Trade with China reached USD 3.6 billion in the first seven months of 2020, which is 53.7% of total trade turnover. Bituminous coal and copper concentrates accounted for 32.6% and 34.0% of total exports to China, while gold accounted for 99.9%, 77.3% and 62.2% of goods exported to Switzerland, Singapore and the United Kingdom, respectively.
The USD 782.8 million decrease in exports was resulted from the decline in exports of USD 324.3 million in copper concentrates and USD 911.0 million in coal.
In the first seven months of 2020, 35.2% of the total imports were from China, 27.0% was from Russia, 8.0% was from Japan, 4.9% was from the USA, and 4.4% was from the Republic of Korea, accounting for 79.5% of total import.
50.5% of the total imports from Russia were petroleum products, 60.4% of the total imports from Japan were cars, and 6.7% of the total imports from China were electricity, 5.6% were trucks and 87.7% were imports of other products from China.
The USD 565.2 million decrease in imports from the same period of the previous year was mainly due to USD 50.8 million decrease in petrol imports, USD 164.5 million decrease in diesel fuel imports, USD 107.5 million decrease in car imports and USD 70.0 million decrease in truck imports.
Exports of mineral products, textiles and textile articles, natural or cultured stones, precious metals jewelry made up of 97.5 percent of the total export. On the other hand, 64.0 percent of the total imports was mineral products, machinery, equipment, electric appliances, transport vehicle and its spare parts and food products.
Source: National Statistics Office
Chinese rail speeding towards exciting future by doubling network length within 15 years & introducing 600kph maglev trains www.rt.com
China has unveiled ambitious plans to boost its railway industry over the next 15 years. Part of the vision are maglev lines that can ferry commuters at 600kph, with a prototype train recently approved for trials.
Beijing also plans to build some 200,000km of new railways over 15 years, a blueprint unveiled by China State Railway Group on Wednesday said. As of July, the national network had a total length of 141,400km.
One of the big goals for China is to cut travel times for commuters and passengers taking a trip between major cities. Intra-city journeys are expected to last no longer than one hour by the 2035 deadline, while neighboring provincial capitals and city clusters will be within a three-hour trip.
In many instances, this will be done thanks to high-speed bullet-train lines. China wants to have about 70,000km of such tracks in 15 years, nearly doubling the existing infrastructure, as well as to boost the service speeds of bullet trains to some 400kph.
There is also an effort to introduce several lines of advanced magnetic levitation (maglev) trains with speeds of around 600kph, which would bridge the gap between ground transport and commercial aviation in China. Unlike conventional trains, they float over the track to eliminate wheel friction completely and are propelled by powerful electromagnetic fields instead.
Last week, the Chinese Ministry of Transport gave the green light for a trial of a prototype maglev train capable of traveling at that speed. The prototype was completed earlier in May and may be approved for commercial production next year. If they become operational, such engines will provide better connectivity between major population centers like Beijing and Shanghai, or Chendgu and Chongqing.
Maglev technology has been in development for decades, but only a handful of relatively small-scale commercial projects became operational due to high investment costs that this transport requires. China hosts one of the world's fastest maglev lines, which connects Shanghai with Shanghai Pudong International Airport, which was opened in 2004 with the help of Germany.
Beijing hopes the technology has matured enough to be economically viable on a larger scale. Up to nine new maglev lines totaling over 1,000km are planned for the future in China. The country faces tough competition from Japan in perfecting and introducing maglev trains.
Russia offers to help US with Covid-19 vaccine; US says no www.cnn.com
Moscow (CNN)Russian officials in Moscow tell CNN they have offered "unprecedented cooperation" with Operation Warp Speed (OWS), the US multi-agency body set up to accelerate access to effective Covid-19 vaccines and treatments.
But the officials told CNN that the "US is not currently open" to the Russian medical advances.
"There is a general sense of mistrust of Russia on the American side and we believe that technologies -- including vaccine, testing and treatments -- are not being adopted in US because of that mistrust," one senior Russian official told CNN.
White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany said Thursday that President Donald Trump has been briefed on the new Russian vaccine. She said that American vaccines go through "rigorous" Phase 3 testing and high standards.
Other US officials told CNN the Russian vaccine is considered so half-baked in the United States that it hadn't even piqued US interest in a serious way before the rollout. "There's no way in hell the US tries this (Russian vaccine) on monkeys, let alone people," one US government public health official said.
Russia announced on Tuesday that it had developed a vaccine against the coronavirus and President Vladimir Putin said his own daughter had received it. But tests are yet to be completed and some experts are skeptical about the claims.
The race to find an effective vaccine -- more than 20 are in trials around the world -- has global implications, not just for the health of billions of people, but potential billions in revenue for the successful developer and manufacturer.
Russia says US firms interested
Russian officials tell CNN that Russia is open to sharing information about the vaccine and that it would allow US pharmaceutical companies to produce the Russian vaccine on American soil.
CNN previously reported that Russia says some US pharmaceutical companies are interested in learning about the Russian vaccine, although the names of the firms have not been disclosed.
Following the rebuff from the United States, the Russian sources say Washington should "seriously consider adopting" the vaccine, telling CNN the newly approved Russian coronavirus vaccine, Sputnik V, could save American lives.
"If our vaccine proves to be one of the most effective, questions will be asked why the US did not explore this option any deeper, why politics got in way of access to a vaccine," one senior Russian official told CNN.
CNN has contacted the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) and Operation Warp Speed for comment.
Russia's sovereign wealth fund said in a news conference on Tuesday that at least 20 countries in Latin America, the Middle East and Asia have expressed interest in the vaccine. Notably, Philippines President Rodrigo Duterte says he has so much confidence in the vaccine that he'll take it when it arrives in his country, and Mexico's foreign minister said on Thursday morning that Mexico is in "in talks" with Russia about the vaccine.
No testing data released
Developed by the Moscow-based Gamaleya Institute, the vaccine was approved by the Russian government before beginning crucial Phase 3 trials in which it would be administered to thousands of people. Kirill Dmitriev, head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) announced earlier this week that Phase 3 trials of the vaccine would start this past Wednesday in Russia.
Russia hasn't released any scientific data on its testing and CNN is unable to verify the vaccine's claimed safety or effectiveness.
A senior US official and an adviser to the US government tell CNN that there are no procured samples of the newly announced Russia Covid-19 vaccine in the possession of the US government.
"They have enough disease now in Russia that they could conduct clinical trials but they don't appear to have done that at a large enough scale," said the government adviser who spoke to CNN on the condition no name be used. "There have been no trials of this vaccine. They've done too little work on humans to decide if it works on a larger scale. We're talking totally inadequate safety data."
Russia enacted a law in April which eliminated the requirement for crucial Phase 3 trials to be conducted before approval. This has allowed researchers to fast-track the vaccine development process.
"There's all of this discussion about Emergency Use Authorization -- in the case of a pandemic, there are a number of points where you could make a judgment to say the potential benefits of this vaccine outweigh the risks so we give it Emergency Use Authorization to get it approved quickly. That's basically what Russia just did. It's the October surprise we all fear," the senior US official said.
"But in the end, the risks are far too great. The blowback in this country would be horrific," the senior US official added.
Russia's coronavirus vaccine will be gradually rolled out to high-risk people before a mass vaccination of Russians begins in October.
A former senior US administration official called the Russian vaccine "a joke," adding that Russia didn't complete the three phases of testing, and so no one -- not the World Health Organization or the US -- is taking it too seriously. The source continued to say that China is "much closer to winning the vaccine race."
US government officials and government advisers told CNN they believe China is much more serious and responsible with its own testing. "China is very much wanting to join the world of normal response and regulation and they are trying to do that," one official said.
The American sources noted that they believe the only reason Russia is doing this is for leverage -- mostly, in the hope of exchanging it for strategic assets. Putin, like Trump, is under significant pressure to demonstrate formidable efforts to defeat the virus.
"No one will dare question him (Putin), and Russian standards for efficacy don't match those of the US," one former official said.
This story was reported and written by Matthew Chance and Zahra Ullah in Moscow, and Vivian Salama in Washington DC.
Mongolia’s success and challenges against COVID-19 www.eastasiaforum.org
The COVID-19 pandemic will go down in history because of the extraordinary impact it has had on health, the economy and people’s lives across the world. Mongolia is no exception and sound government policy is essential to steer it through the next phase of the crisis.
Despite its proximity to China and close ties with South Korea, Mongolia responded quickly and with great success against COVID-19. By mid-February, the government declared a state of alert and implemented a broad array of strict measures. Its borders were sealed to everyone (even Mongolian citizens), large public events such as the traditional new year were cancelled, and people were ordered to stay at home.
All levels of schooling were moved online and non-essential businesses were either closed or shifted to work-from-home arrangements. The government has worked closely with the World Health Organization and delivered a succinct message about social distancing, wearing face masks in public, and the need for frequent handwashing. These swift actions successfully barred the spread of the virus and as of early August there is no community transmission and no record of any COVID-19-related deaths.
Yet the lockdown has undoubtedly stalled the economy. The economy shrank by 10.7 per cent in the first quarter and total exports fell by 28 per cent. The transportation sector experienced a 29.4 per cent drop. The mining sector has been hit hard as a full border closure with China has caused mining exports to cease completely. Although mining activity resumed in mid-March, with coal production almost returning to pre-pandemic levels in June, semi-annual production is under half of that in 2019.
Mongolia is no exception to the swathe of countries bolstering their economies with fiscal stimulus measures. The parliament approved a plan to mitigate the socio-economic impact of the pandemic on 9 April and the government’s stimulus package will be in effect between 1 April and 1 October. Measures include personal income tax and social insurance contribution exemptions for both employees and employers, a corporate income tax waiver and a five-fold increase in the Child Money transfer — a welfare program for families with children who live below the poverty line. The initial estimate of the package is MNT5.1 billion (US$1.8 million) and is subject to further changes.
The Bank of Mongolia and the Financial Regulatory Commission have also implemented a slew of temporary financial leniency measures to prevent a financial crisis. They include a 2 per cent drop in interest rates, the relaxation of reserve requirements for commercial banks, a six month deferral of interest and principal repayments, and loan reclassification and restructuring.
Although the stimulus package has brought some relief to businesses and households, delayed government action has been criticised by academics, businesses and the public. In a survey conducted by the Trade and Industry Chamber of Mongolia, 65 per cent of businesses reported a significant fall in revenue due to the lockdown. Within two months, over 52,000 applications (out of 72,209 borrowers) requested to defer mortgage repayments. More than 37,000 loans have been reclassified in accordance with new loan standards.
But the pause in economic activity has already impacted the government’s budget. Mining revenue makes up about 20 per cent of budget revenue, so the fall in mining exports weighs heavily. Tax revenue fell by around 20 per cent and social security contributions were down by 40 per cent in the first half of the year.
Not surprisingly, the biggest increase in expenditure occurred in subsidies and transfers — now 2.5 times that of 2019. While countries tend to avoid unnecessary spending, Mongolia has more than doubled its expenditure on domestic investment. This is despite the fact the government is heavily indebted, with public debt around 65 per cent of GDP — of which 85 per cent is foreign debt and in need of servicing. This hinders the government’s ability to cushion against present and future economic shocks.
Undoubtedly, the poor are being hit the hardest. Mongolia has a relatively high poverty rate of 28.4 per cent as of 2018. This will certainly get worse without government support. Currently, the expanded (albeit temporary) safety net provides some relief for the most economically vulnerable, although a large section of the population will face an elevated risk of falling into poverty when the stimulus package ends in December.
It is almost certain that the COVID-19 recession will deepen further. The government needs to evaluate its impact on the economy and people’s livelihoods in order to enact fiscal stimulus that is both cost-effective and sizeable. The 2020 budget review should be submitted urgently by the new government formed after June parliamentary elections.
The government faces the extraordinary challenge of boosting the economy while preventing a second wave from hitting Mongolian society. More resources need to be allocated to those who are likely to be worst affected. The bottom line is to continue to stop community transmission of the virus while preventing as many people as possible from falling into poverty and supporting the reintegration of workers back into the economy.
Ariun-Erdene Bayarjargal is an Associate Lecturer in Economics at the Australian National University.
...First ever railway bridge connecting Russia & China to open in 2022 www.rt.com
The long-awaited cross-border railway bridge linking Russia and China across the Amur river is scheduled to be commissioned in the first quarter of 2022, authorities in Russia’s Jewish Autonomous Region announced on Wednesday.
The 2,209-meter-long (1.4 mile) structure will link Russia’s Far East with China’s northernmost Heilongjiang province. The Nizhneleninskoye (Jewish Autonomous Region) to Tongjiang (Heilongjiang province) bridge will be the first railway bridge between the two countries. It is expected to bring bilateral trade to new highs.
China has already completed the construction of its part of the structure. As for the Russian side, the region’s acting governor Rostislav Goldstein said earlier it “would be preferable to complete all the work on time, which is the first quarter of 2021.”
Construction of the cross-border bridge officially began in 2016, after 28 years of negotiations. The new bridge and its associated infrastructure will be 19.9km (12.4 miles) long. Some 6.5km (4.1 miles) of the bridge and road junctions will lie in China, and the remaining 13.5km (8.4 miles) will be located in Russia, according to China’s CNS agency.
The highway section of the bridge over the Amur river was completed last year. It will greatly facilitate trade between the two countries, since the route will be roughly 3,500km (2,175 miles) shorter than before. Russia plans to export iron ore, coal, mineral fertilizers, lumber and other goods via the link to China.
Cabinet meeting: Small, Medium-sized Enterprise Directorate established www.montsame.mn
-The Cabinet decided to submit amendment bills to the 2020 State Budget and 2020 budgets for Health Insurance and Health Insurance to the Parliament.
-The draft parliamentary resolution on 'Approval of a five-year guideline for the development of Mongolia in 2021-2025' will be submitted to the Parliament. Once the draft resolution is approved, priorities and activities of mid-term development will become clear, and real conditions will be created to implement long-term development policy.
- It resolved to establish a Directorate for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises. It will function as a key supporter to ensure goals stated in Mongolia's long-term development policy, 'Vision 2050,' outlining “to "create a middle class rooted on households engaging in micro, small and medium-sized businesses as well as self-sufficient and contented living conditions." There are more than 62,000 small and medium enterprises in Mongolia. The sector employs over 800,000 people, producing about 17 percent of GDP.
- It was resolved to establish the State Committee for Physical Culture and Sports under the Prime Minister of Mongolia. The Committee aims to provide quality, equal and accessible physical activities and services to the people and improve the competitiveness and achievement of athletes to the continental, world and Olympic levels based on scientific and technological advancements.
Man dies of bubonic plague in Mongolia www.channelnewsasia.com
Ulaanbaatar, MONGOLIA: Bubonic plague has killed a man in western Mongolia, the country's health ministry said on Wednesday (Aug 12), the latest in a handful of cases to emerge there and in neighbouring China this year.
At least one person dies of the plague every year in the landlocked Asian country, where the rare bacterial disease is usually spread by fleas clinging to the hair of the marmots native to the region.
The government has responded with campaigns to discourage people from eating the large rodents.
Officials said a man died on Tuesday night in the latest case, which is still to be confirmed by laboratory tests.
More than 70 people in close contact with the 42-year-old, who had bought two dead marmots before he fell ill, will now be tested and undergo quarantine.
It comes weeks after a 15-year-old boy also succumbed to the disease in a neighbouring province of Mongolia.
Health officials in China have also reported two similar deaths from its side of the border this month – one from bubonic plague, and another caused by the rare pharyngeal plague.
The recent cases prompted Russia's nearby Burytia region to test rodents for the bubonic plague and urge residents not to hunt or eat marmots.
Hunting the mammals is illegal in Mongolia, but many people in rural areas believe that their meat is good for health.
Source: AFP/dv
Mongolia’s Sumo Champions www.thediplomat.com
Registered unemployed decreased by 0.9 percent from June www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/. In July 2020, Labour agencies in aimags and the Capital city registered 5.2 thousand new unemployed, 1.3 thousand persons from the unemployment register hired on a new job, and 5.4 thousand persons removed from the unemployment register due to inactive job seeking. In Ulaanbaatar, 1.6 thousand persons newly registered in Labour agencies of municipal and the district offices, and 433 persons from the unemployment register were hired in July 2020.
Compared to the same period of the previous year, newly registered unemployed decreased by 1.1 thousand persons (17.6%), while the number of persons removed from the unemployment register due to inactive job seeking decreased by 0.3 thousand persons (4.5%).
At the end of July 2020, the number of registered job seekers reached 28.1 thousand, of which 18.0 thousand (64.3%) were registered as unemployed and the remaining 10.0 thousand (35.7%) were employed but looking for a new job.
Registered unemployed decreased by 4.4 thousand (19.5%) from the same period of the previous year and decreased by 1.5 thousand (1.1%) from the previous month. Out of the total registered unemployed, 9.3 thousand or 51.5% were women.
Source: National Statistics Office
Government debt rose by 1.7 times between 2015-2019 www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/. In 2015, total government debt was MNT 14.4 trillion and it increased by 54.5 percent in 2016 to MNT 22.3 trillion, reaching MNT 23.9 trillion in 2019. It means the total government debt increased by 1.7 times between 2015-2019.
External debt accounted for 54.6 percent of total government debt in 2015, but the share of external debt increased every year, hitting 85.5 percent in 2019, according to "Economic Security" survey released by the National Statistics Office (NSO).
Fiscal Stability Law initially required the government debt ratio to GDP to maintain at 40 percent. However, the law was amended in 2015 and 2016, increasing the debt ratio to GDP to 60 percent and put off the entry into force to 2021.
The government debt ratio to GDP was 1.6 times higher than the original 40 percent limit in 2015, 2.3 times higher in 2016, 2 times higher in 2017, 1.7 times higher in 2018, and 1.6 times higher in 2019.
Total repayments reached equal to 46.3 percent of budget revenues and 12 percent of GDP in 2015, while in 2017, it reached a record high of equal to 82.3 percent of budget revenues and 27.6 percent of GDP.
In 2021-2024, the following outstanding debts for government-issued bonds are expected to be repaid:
Mazaalai bond - USD 500 million,
Chinggis bond - USD 1 billion,
Khuraldai bond USD - 600 million,
“Gerege bond” - USD 800 million.
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