Events
Name | organizer | Where |
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MBCC “Doing Business with Mongolia seminar and Christmas Receptiom” Dec 10. 2024 London UK | MBCCI | London UK Goodman LLC |
NEWS
Russia on track to become world’s top gold producer by 2029 – report www.mining.com
Despite some disruptions caused by the covid-19 pandemic, Russia is expected to surpass China as the world’s top gold producer by 2029, achieving average annual growth of 3.7% y-o-y between 2020 and 2029.
This forecast was presented in a report by Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research, whose experts believe that in the short-to-medium term, strong domestic demand for gold will underpin increasing gold production in Russia.
Despite a 900-case coronavirus outbreak at Polyus Gold’s Olympiada mine in the Krasnoyarsk region of eastern Siberia – which is one of the largest operations on the planet producing 1389.2koz of gold in 2019 – most mines have remained virus-free and operational so far.
Thus, there is some limited downside risk to the current gold production forecast in 2020 but, at the same time, there are other forces playing in favour or Russia’s gold industry.
“Expanding US sanctions and tension between the two countries have incentivized the Russian central bank to increase its gold reserves,” the analysis reads. “Moreover, in early August, the Libya Stabilisation Act is expected to pass through the House of Foreign Affairs Committee, imposing additional sanctions on Russia for its alleged role in escalating the civil war in Libya. The act would allow the Trump administration to freeze funds in American banks, cutting off access to dollar-denominated assets and in turn maintaining elevated domestic demand for Russian gold.”
Palladium
When it comes to palladium, Fitch says that production in Russia is on track to expand in 2020 as the sector has not faced disruptions related to the covid-19 pandemic.
“In fact, Russian palladium producers will benefit from supply disruptions in external markets such as South Africa,” the report states. “Top producer Norilsk Nickel will continue to lead the market for autocatalysts, underpinned by smooth operational capacity and its position as a low-cost producer. On April 30, the company confirmed its production guidance will be maintained for the 2020 fiscal year, expecting to produce 2.65-2.78moz of palladium.”
According to Fitch, given that most palladium mines in South Africa continue to operate below capacity as lockdown restrictions are gradually lifted, production in the country is expected to contract by 8.7% this year, while Russian palladium production is expected to register a 2.5% growth.
Trump WeChat ban 'an unwelcome signal' for Chinese community www.bbc.com
For the global Chinese community, WeChat is more than a chat app: it is often the primary means of staying in touch with friends and family back home.
So the decision last week by US President Donald Trump to order American firms to stop doing business with WeChat has sent shockwaves rippling out.
"WeChat has become the 'it' tool for Chinese-speaking people, no matter where you are around the world," one Shanghai resident told the BBC.
The billion-user app is primarily a social networking platform but can be used for a host of daily activities like shopping, gaming and even dating.
But WeChat has a less innocent side. It is seen a key instrument of China's internal surveillance apparatus.
In an executive order, President Trump labelled WeChat a threat to US national security and accused it of gathering "vast swaths" of user data, threatening Americans' personal and proprietary information.
WeChat's owner, TenCent, has been ordered to sell the app by mid-September or face a ban on US operations.
The move to block WeChat, a prominent example of China's tech innovation, is seen by many Chinese as an attack on their culture, its people and state. In response to President Trump, China's foreign ministry has accused America of using national security as a cover to exert hegemony.
The Chinese diaspora in the US has been shocked by the move, and many people are worried - not just about keeping in touch with loved ones, but what this means for China-US relations.
'An unwelcome signal'
Jennie, 21, is a student at the University of California, and learned about the order while browsing WeChat.
"At first I didn't believe that it is true," she told the BBC. "Then I just felt very angry."
Jennie spends around four hours a day on WeChat, using it to contact people in the US and China. It is also a vital source of information and she spends a lot of time reading articles published on the public accounts of Chinese media, content creators and businesses.
Is the US about to split the internet?
On the anniversary day of Tiananmen Massacre, Jennie made a one-sentence post of commemoration. It was quickly removed, and her entire public account vanished.
She told the BBC she is "very worried" that WeChat will share her information with the Chinese government, but strongly opposes America blocking the app.
"It'd be similar to what China does - to censor," said Jennie.
Shan used to publish on her own public account, until it was censored by WeChat two years ago.
She believes that there should be alternative to manage threats posed by WeChat, other than banning it altogether.
"I wanted to study in the US because of its openness, but this move has burst my bubble."
"I used to think America is culturally inclusive," says Miley Song, a Chinese immigrant in California. Washington's move sends "an unwelcome signal" to Chinese immigrants in the country, she believes.
The 30-year-old stay-at-home mum often uses the app to connect with her parents in China, who were in a panic after hearing about Mr Trump's executive order.
But Ms Song says she is cautiously optimistic. "The ban seems very vague, I think it may be difficult to ban WeChat entirely," she says, "We'll wait and see."
While not particularly worried about the ban, she is concerned about it means for her future in the America.
In the midst of a pandemic, and with presidential elections on the way, Ms Song thinks the Trump administration is trying to divert attention away from rising death tolls and falling polling numbers.
"Otherwise, why has Trump focused on cracking down Chinese apps now?"
'It's fully embedded into people's lives'
There is also concern among those who have returned to China after living and studying in America.
Rachel spent 10 years in the US, many of them as a student in the capital, Washington, DC.
Now home in Shanghai, WeChat has become "fully embedded into people's daily lives," she told the BBC.
"If you live in China, you cannot go anywhere without two major apps: one is WeChat, the other is AliPay," said Rachel. "If you want to buy a bottle of milk, you open you WeChat Pay or AliPay to scan the QR code and pay, and most stores don't accept cash."
WeChat is also being used as a tracking tool to help the government with containing the spread of coronavirus.
While President Trump's order will have little impact on her daily activities in China, Rachel said it may become harder to connect with people in the US. As a result, she said some are exploring alternatives like communication app Line, or VPNs - virtual private networks which mask your computers location.
It's sad that it's going down this way," said Rachel. "I see both sides, there is always good and bad in both societies, and I want to be neutral but it's harder and harder to become neutral."
...Mongolia reports 3 more COVID-19 recoveries, no new cases www.xinhuanet.com
Mongolia has reported three more COVID-19 recoveries, bringing the total recoveries to 263, the country's National Center for Communicable Diseases (NCCD) said Sunday.
Meanwhile, the Asian country conducted 592 tests for COVID-19 in the last 24 hours, which showed negative results, with the national caseload standing at 293, marking the seventh consecutive day without new cases, the NCCD said in a statement.
All the confirmed cases were imported, and there have been no loc
Foreign trade turnover decreased by 16.7 percent www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/ As of the first seven months of this year, total foreign trade turnover reached USD 6.7 billion, showing a decrease of USD 1.4 billion or 16.7 percent drop compared to the same period of last year. Export exceeded import by USD 846.6 million and foreign trade balance has shown positive result, the Customs General Administration reported.
Goods and raw materials worth USD 3.8 billion have been exported in the first seven month, which is a decreased performance by 17.1 percent compared to the same period of the previous year.
Exports of mineral products made up of 65.1 percent of the total export, exports of pearl, precious and semi-precious stones, precious metal and jewelry 28.5 percent, exports of raw and processed hides, skins, fur and articles 0.2 percent and exports of textiles and textile articles 3.8 percent, respectively.
Crude oil, iron ore, copper concentrate and zinc concentrate accounted for 100 percent and stone coal accounted for 96.3 percent of total export to China, flour spar accounted for 75.5 percent of export to China, 24.1 percent of export to Russia, combed wool accounted for 81.5 percent of total export to Italy, washed goat cashmere accounted for 100 percent of total export to China, semi-processed gold accounted for 4.9 percent of total export to Great Britain, 5.8 percent of export to Singapore and 89.3 percent of export to Switzerland separately. The aforementioned export goods made up of 92.8 percent of the total exports.
Mongolia has exported its goods to 60 countries and China has taken up 68 percent of it, Switzerland 25 percent, Great Britain 2 percent and Singapore 2 percent respectively.
Officials acquainted with preparations for new international airport www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/. The 25th joint meeting between the Civil Aviation Authority of Mongolia (MCAA) and ‘New Ulaanbaatar International Airport’ LLC took place at the Chinggis Khaan International Airport in Khushigt Valley on August 6.
A resolution on measures to be taken to launch the operations of the new international airport of Ulaanbaatar city before October 1, 2020 was approved by the Government in June. To ensure preparations in correspondence with the resolution, the aforementioned meeting was held with officials led by Deputy Director of MCAA B.Altantsom in attendance.
At the meeting, the MCAA Deputy Director highlighted the importance of all staff members to use face masks, regularly disinfect spaces, and follow health regulations in aims of protecting them from infection during the time of the pandemic. He then reminded the officials to involve corresponding representatives of MCAA for the Operational Readiness and Airport Transfer test in the framework of the preparation work.
Following the meeting, they became acquainted with the progress of the preparation measures being implemented by ‘New Ulaanbaatar International Airport’ LLC.
Moody’s reviews ratings of Mongolian Mortgage Corporation www.news.mn
Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of the Mongolian Mortgage Corporation HFC LLC and other ratings that are associated with the same analytical unit. Since 1 January 2019, Moody’s practice has been to issue a press release following each periodic review to announce its completion.
Key rating considerations are summarised below:
The Mongolian Mortgage Corporation’s B3 Corporate Family Rating reflects its strong asset quality, moderate capitalisation and stable profitability as the sole mortgage servicer for the government’s affordable housing finance program. The company’s key credit weaknesses are its elevated counterparty risks due to its exposure to commercial banks in Mongolia and the Bank of Mongolia, its credit concentration to the Mongolian residential property sector and its weak liquidity.
Mongolian Mortgage Corporation’s B3 rating does not incorporate any uplift for government support because the company’s standalone assessment of b3 is at the same level as the Mongolian government’s B3 issuer rating. Nevertheless, Moody’s expects a high level of support from the government of Mongolia in times of stress. Moody’s assumption of support is based on Mongolian Mortgage Corporation’s close linkages with the central bank and the government, direct and indirect government ownership; and high systemic importance to Mongolia’s financial sector.
This document summarises Moody’s view as of the publication date and will not be updated until the next periodic review announcement, which will incorporate material changes in credit circumstances (if any) during the intervening period.
Currency swap agreement extended for three years www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/. The bilateral currency swap agreement between the Bank of Mongolia and the People's Bank of China has been successfully renewed on July 31 for another 3 years until 2023.
Until its recent renewal, the agreement was established between the banks with the currency swap amount of CNY 15 billion or MNT 6 trillion to support trade and economic cooperation between the two countries.
It was first signed between the banks in 2011 for CNY 10 billion. Then, in 2014, the amount was increased by CNY 5 billion and the term was extended for 3 years. In 2017, only the term of the agreement was extended by 3 years.
Mongolia's coal export drops nearly 50 pct amid COVID-19 pandemic www.xinhuanet.com
Mongolia exported a total of 11.2 million tons of coal in the first seven months of this year, a decrease of 46.4 percent compared to the same period last year, according to official data on Tuesday.
The sharp decline, said the Mongolian Customs General Administration, is largely due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
In a bid to boost cooperation with China amid the pandemic, Mongolia has introduced a temporary regulation called Green Gateway, which came into effect on Saturday, according to the Mongolian Ministry of Mining and Heavy Industry.
Minister Gelen Yondon said he hopes the regulation will help Mongolia increase its export of mining products, such as coal and copper concentrates, to China. Enditem
Microsoft says it is still talking with Trump about buying TikTok from its Chinese owner www.cnn.com
New York (CNN Business)Microsoft says it is still discussing a potential purchase of TikTok, days after President Donald Trump said he would ban the popular short-form video app from operating in the United States.
In a blog post Sunday, Microsoft (MSFT) said its CEO Satya Nadella has talked with Trump about buying the app, which is owned by Chinese start-up ByteDance. US policymakers have for weeks expressed concerns about the app as tensions between the United States and China escalate, with many asserting that it could pose a national security risk.
'Everyone is going cray cray': TikTok users freak out over possible US ban
'Everyone is going cray cray': TikTok users freak out over possible US ban
"[Microsoft] is committed to acquiring TikTok subject to a complete security review and providing proper economic benefits to the United States, including the United States Treasury," the company said, adding that it will "move quickly" to talk with ByteDance "in a matter of weeks."
"During this process, Microsoft looks forward to continuing dialogue with the United States Government, including with the President," the company added.
The Washington State-based firm's blog post suggests TikTok could avert the ban that Trump threatened Friday night, when he said he could use emergency economic powers or an executive order to block the app from operating in the United States. Microsoft's remarks also come after the Wall Street Journal reported that the company's talks with ByteDance had been put on hold after Trump's comments.
A deal would create a new structure wherein Microsoft would own and operate TikTok services in the United States, Canada, Australia and New Zealand. As part of the agreement, Microsoft said it would ensure that all private data of TikTok's American users would be transferred to and remain in the United States.
TikTok has previously stressed that its US user data is already stored on US-based servers and backed up in Singapore, and is therefore not subject to Chinese law as some US officials have feared.
"This new structure would build on the experience TikTok users currently love, while adding world-class security, privacy, and digital safety protections," Microsoft said. "The operating model for the service would be built to ensure transparency to users as well as appropriate security oversight by governments in these countries."
The company added that "in any event" it would finish talking with ByteDance no later than September 15.
ByteDance did not immediately respond to a request for comment about the Microsoft post. But the company said in a statement published Sunday on Toutiao, the Chinese social media site it owns, that it "has always been committed to becoming a global company."
"In this process, we are faced with all kinds of complex and unimaginable difficulties," the company added. It cited a "tense international political environment," among other issues.
It from Disney's king of streaming to fighting for TikTok's life
"But we still adhere to the vision of globalization and continue to increase investment in markets around the world, including China, to create value for users around the world," ByteDance said. "We strictly abide by local laws and will actively use the rights granted to us by the law to safeguard the legal rights of the company."
TikTok did not respond immediately to a request for comment Sunday night, but a TikTok spokesperson said in a statement to CNN Business on Saturday that it is "confident in the long-term success" of the app. The company has hired nearly 1,000 people to its US team this year, and plans to hire another 10,000 employees across the United States, the spokesperson said. It also recently announced a "Creator Fund" to lure top talent to create content for the app.
Beijing, meanwhile, blasted Washington after Trump floated a ban.
"The US has been stretching the concept of national security, without any evidence, and only based on presumption of guilt. It is threatening certain businesses," Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Wang Wenbin told reporters Monday. "China is firmly opposed to this."
TikTok could be the "right partner at the right time" for Microsoft, according to Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives, who pegged the app's valuation at roughly $50 billion. (He added, though, that TikTok's value could be hurt considerably if it were to be shut down.)
Ives added that if the sale is successful, Microsoft would also receive a social media "crown jewel" at a time when tech peers like Facebook (FB) and Google (GOOGL) parent Alphabet are facing regulatory scrutiny, making it difficult for them to consider Tiktok.
— Shawn Deng, Jill Disis and Isaac Yee contributed to this report.
Global coal power falls for first time even as China builds more www.mining.com
Global coal-fired power capacity edged down for the first time on record in the first half of 2020 as retirements accelerated and the coronavirus saw new projects put on hold.
The closing of plants, especially in Europe and the U.S., outpaced the start of new units, more than 60% of which were in China, according to a report by Global Energy Monitor. The net decline of 2.9 gigawatts may be small, at just over 0.1% of the world’s coal generation capacity, but marks a turning point in the burning of the dirtiest fossil fuel to produce electricity.
“The Covid pandemic has paused coal plant development around the world and offers a unique opportunity for countries to reassess their future energy plans and choose the cost-optimal path, which is to replace coal power with clean energy,” said Christine Shearer, program director for coal at Global Energy Monitor.
As developed economies in Europe and North America increasingly shift toward cleaner energy sources, mining companies are looking to fast-growing Asian countries to shore up demand for the heavy polluting fossil fuel. Still, world coal demand is set for its biggest annual drop since World War II as economic activity plunges due to coronavirus lockdowns, the International Energy Agency said in April.
The pace of new construction in Asia is slowing, with countries including Bangladesh and Vietnam considering restricting or deferring new coal plants, according to Global Energy Monitor, which gathers information from public sources, such as media articles, and non-government agencies.
China’s coal power expansion would exacerbate overcapacity, according to the report, which cited a study from the University of Maryland that projected the average utilization rate for the country’s coal plants could drop to 45% by 2025.
The United Nations has called for a moratorium on new coal plant builds by 2020 to help meet Paris climate agreement targets, yet there is still around 190 gigawatts of capacity under construction worldwide, according to GEM.
(By James Thornhill)
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