Events
Name | organizer | Where |
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MBCC “Doing Business with Mongolia seminar and Christmas Receptiom” Dec 10. 2024 London UK | MBCCI | London UK Goodman LLC |
NEWS
Massive FX leak: Renewable energy www.zgm.mn
Mongolia, which has a vast source of renewable energy, has not been able to export the electricity harvested from clean sources and instead, pay more to foreign investors. Key players in the industry, consisting mainly of foreign investors, sell their expensive power to Mongolia under the name “clean energy.”
The renewable energy law was passed over 10 years ago and has become obsolete. It was in a way, an easy means to profit off of Mongolia. Accordingly, the Mongolian Government has recently revised its policy. In the past few years, there was no renewal of licenses for wind and solar power plants.
Currently, there are eight solar and wind farms in Mongolia. However, as the number of new plants and clean energy increases, the people who charge the price are increasing as well. Mongolians paid MNT 110 billion for the use of green energy price differentials to new sources. Nevertheless, this money is mainly paid to foreign investors. “Excluding two plants, foreign investors currently hold more than 50 percent of six renewable energy sources,” said Tleikhan Almalik, head of the Energy Regulatory Commission.
Furthermore, over 1,000 companies operating in renewable energy have been established. Also, the license granted to this sector reached 1528.8 MWh, exceeding the total energy consumption of Mongolia.
In Mongolia, it is important to step up the renewable energy sector under a pure business principle. As of 2018, 18 percent of Mongolia's energy or 240.4 MWh consisted of renewable energy. By the end of this year, the country can achieve its purpose to get 20 percent of its total energy reserves from renewable sources. In this view, the country is likely to be dependent on wind and solar power in the coming years and it is essential to implement a cautious policy
BoM: Inflation to be at 7.8 percent at the end of 2020 www.zgm.mn
Inflation is projected to be 7.2 percent at the end of 2019 and 7.8 percent at the end of 2020. In May, inflation stood at 7.9 percent nationwide at 8.8 percent in Ulaanbaatar.
The increased price of meat and fuel affected Ulaanbaatar inflation, accounting for 45 percent of inflation or four units of three kinds of products. As mentioned in the new inflation status report in June, several factors have hit the reduction of vision. For example, consumer loan lending has slowed down and the decrease in loan balance from the beginning of the year reduces the depreciation burden and increases the impact of wage growth-inflation.
Also, public investment expenditures have been delayed and the appreciation of the MNT has risen against the CNY. The increase in budget expenditures and its implications will further increase inflation in 2020. However, the effects of supply factors will slow and overall inflation is expected to be around the target level over the anticipated period.
If the budget outlook exceeds the expectation of the election year, there is a risk of inflationary pressures on demand. In addition, the trade war might trigger commodity prices to fall, boosting the burden of MNT, and increasing the price of imported goods, reported the BoM.
Mongolia casts doubt on Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi expansion www.afr.com
Rio Tinto is facing more uncertainty in Mongolia after a senior lawmaker was reported suggesting the developing nation would not honour a 2015 agreement that underpins a $US5.3 billion expansion of the Oyu Tolgoi copper mine.
Mongolian media quoted the nation's minister for Mining and Heavy Industry, Sumiyabazar Dolgorsuren, as suggesting the Mongolian government would no longer accept a 2015 legal agreement that laid out the fiscal terms for the expansion.
That agreement was struck by Rio chief executive Jean-Sebastien Jacques when he was the miner's copper boss.
“We do not stand by the contract,” Mr Dolgorsuren was quoted as saying by News.mn.
The comments have since been republished by Bloomberg's bureau in the Mongolian capital Ulaan Baatar.
Rio shareholders will likely take the comments with a grain of salt; Mongolian parliamentarians have on many occasions in the past decade made threats to discard the major legal agreements that underpin Rio's investment in Oyu Tolgoi.
On most occasions the threats have proved to be hollow, with Rio continuing to work under a 2009 investment agreement that Mongolia has sought to revisit numerous times.
Adding to the tension is the fact the Mongolian Parliament is currently controlled by political rivals of the party that struck the 2015 agreement in Dubai.
But the outburst comes at a fragile time for Rio given a Mongolian parliamentary working group continues to analyse Oyu Tolgoi from a range of perspectives, including the fiscal terms but also practical issues relating to the supply of power and water.
Rumours have persisted in recent months that the parliamentary working group will seek revisions to the 2015 expansion agreement, while Mongolia's anti-corruption agency is investigating some of the politicians involved in signing the 2009 investment agreement.
Rio copper boss Arnaud Soirat made clear in April that he had no appetite to revisit those agreements.
''A commitment to honouring agreements and contracts is essential, especially in our industry, where time horizons are long and upfront investment is massive. At Oyu Tolgoi, the sanctity of the key
investment agreements makes the shareholders’ potential US$12 billion investment in Mongolia possible,'' he told an audience in Chile.
''Without these agreements we do not have a business case. And we will not have an operation.''
Rio is also expected to confirm the scale of cost and schedule blow outs on the project in coming months, which could further strain the relationship given the Mongolian government owns 34 per cent of the mine and is eager for its copper and gold to boost government revenues as soon as possible.
Mongolia has been unable to fund its 34 per cent share of development costs on the project; a situation that has further complicated the relationship and will ensure Mongolia's dividend streams from the mine are compromised in its early years of operation.
While Rio has been forced to tolerate the volatility that comes with Mongolian politics, the company's hand in negotiations is strengthened by the fact Oyu Tolgoi is viewed internationally as a bellweather for Mongolia's investibility.
Foreign investment into Mongolia slumped in the years prior to the 2015 Oyu Tolgoi agreement, and successful development of the mine is expected to embolden other investors.
Peter Ker covers resource companies, based in Melbourne. Connect with Peter on Twitter. Email Peter at pker@afr.com
...European Union and Mongolia hold productive political, economic and human rights dialogue www.eeas.europa.eu
The European Union and Mongolia held a Joint Committee meeting today under the EU-Mongolia Partnership and Cooperation Agreement.
In 2019, the EU and Mongolia celebrate the 30th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations. The presence of the EU Delegation in Ulaanbaatar since 2017 allows both parties to consolidate, deepen and diversify their relations.
In the meeting, both the EU and Mongolia reaffirmed the importance of further enhancing their relations by discussing priority areas of cooperation in the political, economic and human rights spheres. They exchanged views on regional and global issues and discussed opportunities for strengthening cooperation in the framework of the Europe-Asia connectivity strategy.
The EU and Mongolia discussed further steps in assisting the Mongolian authorities with a possible budget support operation that will contribute to boost employment creation and improve public finance management.
The third EU-Mongolia Human Rights Dialogue was held back-to-back with the Joint Committee. The EU and Mongolia discussed issues related to enhancing cooperation in multilateral fora. While the EU acknowledged the firm basis of the rule of law in Mongolia and the country's good compliance with human rights and fundamental freedoms, recent initiatives in the field of human rights and rule of law risk being contrary to Mongolia's international obligations, such as the independence of the judiciary, the rights of the child and human rights defenders. The EU welcomed the recent statement by the Mongolian Minister of Justice on the country’s continued strong commitment to the abolition of the death penalty. As is the case for all human rights dialogues, the EU met with civil society representatives ahead of the Dialogue, which contributes to a regular engagement with such groups.
The Subcommittee on Trade and Investment, held prior to the Joint Committee reviewed the state of trade and economic cooperation with a focus on the improvement of the business climate and the diversification of Mongolia's economy. It also reviewed the state of implementation of the EU Trade-Related Assistance to Mongolia (TRAM) project that assists Mongolia in the diversification of its economy and capacity building, as well as support for business intermediaries. The Joint Committee decided to establish a dialogue on sanitary and phytosanitary related issues.
Prior to the Joint Committee, dialogues took place in the context of EU’s special incentive arrangement for sustainable development and good governance (GSP+). The EU and Mongolia discussed how to make better use of these trade preferences as well as the effective implementation of international conventions on human rights, labour rights, environment and good governance. Agreed follow up actions include the adoption of the revised labour law, enforcing child protection, and ensuring the independence of the judiciary.
The Mongolian delegation at the Joint Committee was headed by Mr Tsogtbaatar Damdin, Minister of Foreign Affairs. The European Union's delegation was headed by Mr Gunnar Wiegand, Managing Director for Asia and the Pacific at the European External Action Service.
The EU and Mongolia agreed to hold their next Joint Committee meeting in 2020 in Brussels.
...Mongolia exported 3.5 million tons of iron ore from January 2019 www.qazaqtimes.com
For the first 6 months of this year, Mongolia exported 3.5 million tons of iron ore totaling $ 207.5 mn, reports the country's main customs administration. At the same time, this figure increased by 720.9 thousand tons compared to the same period of the previous year. According to experts, China remains the main export destination for Mongolia. The share of China in 2018 accounted for 66% of total exports of Mongolia. In 2018, Mongolia exported 7.4 million tons of iron ore.
...Biodiversity and Adaptation to Climate Change-III project agreement signed www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/ On June 26, Ch.Khurelbaatar, Minister of Finance, Stefan Duppel, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Federal Republic of Germany to Mongolia and, Petar Gjorgjiev, Director of the Office of German Credit Institute for Reconstruction (KfW) in Ulaanbaatar signed intergovernmental and financial agreements on the third phase of the ‘Biodiversity and Adaptation to Climate Change’ project and the Mongolia-Germany Joint University of Minerals and Technology establishment project.
The Biodiversity and Adaptation to Climate Change-III project will be implemented with a non-refundable aid worth EUR 8 million from Germany and the latter - a soft loan of EUR 7 million.
The funding will be disbursed through the German state-owned development bank, KfW, and the Ministry of Environment and Tourism and Ministry of Education, Culture, Science and Sports of Mongolia will implement the project.
A 3,500 m2 training and research facility consisting of seven types of laboratories and 800 m2 fully equipped library are planned to be built with the soft loan.
The third phase of the project will carry out activities aimed at strengthening the management of buffer zones and ecological corridors in Mongolia's special protected areas, conserving biodiversity, and supporting sustainable livelihoods of locals in the buffer zones.
The two countries have been working together in priority areas such as ensuring sustainable growth of economy, advancing energy efficiency, and conserving endangered animals and plants, and have implemented projects totaling over EUR 400 million since 1992. This year marks the 45th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between Mongolia and Germany.
Trump gift to coal industry won’t halt decline – report www.mining.com
Since peaking in 2008, US coal consumption has fallen 39% to the lowest level in 40 years.
A Federal Energy Regulatory Commission report shows the total available installed generating capacity of coal stood at 257.5 gigawatts (slightly less than renewable energy sources for the first time US history). According to BloombergNEF another 41GW are slated for retirement and a further 105GW of capacity is deemed at risk of closure.
US president Donald Trump has done his utmost to make good on promises to ease restrictions on coal power since taking office and earlier this month the Environmental Protection Agency gave the industry another boost with a new set of rules that make it easy and cheap to comply with what’s left of Obama-era regulations.
But a new report suggest the rewritten Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) rules will do little to stem the decline of the industry.
Moody’s Investors Service says while the rules are credit positive for merchant coal generators because the “investments required to comply are minimal,” coal-fired plants will continue to be less economical than natural gas powered generators:
We project natural gas prices to remain within a band of $2.50 per one
million British Thermal Units (MMBtu) to $3.50/MMBtu and more likely on the lower end because of the abundant US supplies of natural gas from shale, along with rapidly increasing associated gas from shale oil production.
Additionally, coal-fired generation faces substitution risk from renewables such as wind, solar and battery storage as technology improvements have dramatically increased their cost competitiveness.
The ACE rule does not mitigate any of these overarching market trends that are creating strong headwinds for merchant coal generators nor does it address the impact of changing consumer preferences which appears to be supportive of using sustainable, lower carbon-emitting generating resources.
Finally, says Moody’s, just like Clean Power Plan (CPP) passed by the Obama administration, the ACE provisions could be legally challenged and eventually repealed.
Japan secures rare earth supply for longer through Lynas funding www.mining.com
Australia’s Lynas Corp (ASX: LYC) has signed a 10-year loan extension on easier terms with its powerful Japanese backers, which means the Asian nation now has a larger and lengthier hold on the company’s rare earths output amid China’s threats to use its market supply dominance as a weapon in the trade war with the United States.
Under the new agreement with Japan Australia Rare Earths BV (JARE), a joint venture between state-owned Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corp (JOGMEC) and Sojitz Corp, Lynas’ principal payments due and the interest charged on the loan will be reduced.
The extension to 2030 to repay $147 million will help the Aussie miner, the only major producer of rare earths outside China, move forward with its 2025 expansion plans.
It would also aid financing the relocation of Lynas’ controversial processing plant from Malaysia to Western Australia, where its Mt Weld mine is located, over the next five years.
“Once the new cracking and leaching plant is operational, the material shipped to Malaysia for processing will not include naturally-occurring radioactive material,” the company said in the statement.
Moving processing of rare earths from Malaysia to Western Australia, is also expected to help the company ramp up its production to 10.5kt of Neodymium and Praseodymium (NdPr) oxide a year in order to meet and profit from the expected demand growth.
The company’s main products, neodymium and praseodymium, are key ingredients in permanent magnets used in electric vehicles, energy efficient consumer devices, and in the aerospace and defence industries.
Government to issue bonds using blockchain technology www.zgm.mn
Government bonds that were needed in the domestic market will be more accessible to citizens and investors by combining traditional and advanced methods in the coming year. The Ministry of Finance is planning to sell government bonds based on blockchain technology and at the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE). Preparations for forming government bonds with blockchain technology started last year. In this regard, the government adopted a regulation on trading securities based on blockchain technology in February 2018. “If we use such platforms, civilians and businesses will have the wider opportunity to get government securities,” said Minister of Finance Khurelbaatar Chimed. The Australian government also has the experience of issuing bonds worth USD 6 billion via blockchain technology. The blockchain-based bond trading platform was created by a Mongolian entity ICT group.
“Currently, citizens would have to go to a bank to buy government securities, but if they use the blockchain technology, they will be able to subscribe and trade using their mobile phones,” said the CEO of the company. The government has suspended trading its bond in the domestic market in 2017 before the new regulation. The Ministry of Finance has explained that the downturn in the bonds was to avoid increasing government cuts in the domestic market and to prevent the government from capturing the assets of the banks. Experts highlighted that domestic government bonds can stabilize the interest rate. The termination of government bonds has some negative effects. Therefore, it is advisable to trade a fair amount of bonds on a regular basis rather than stopping it. In recent years, commercial banks have placed 20 percent of their total assets in government and central bank bills. The banks have divided USD 6 trillion in a pair of bonds. This led banks to buy central bank bills. According to the Fiscal Framework Statement of 2020 passed by the Parliament last month, the government will not raise as much debt as last year. However, some bonds may be issued to support securities trading and adjustments to local financial markets.
State Secretary D.Davaasuren receives OECD representatives www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/ State Secretary of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs D.Davaasuren received representatives of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) led by the Head of Eurasia Division William Tompson on June 27.
State Secretary D.Davaasuren highlighted the importance of expanding cooperation between Mongolia and the OECD, covering the SME, taxation and infrastructure sectors. Noting that OECD member states support the development of cooperation with Mongolia, Mr. William Tompson expressed interest in further development of cooperation in the improvement of legal environment of business, sustainable infrastructure and climate sectors, exchanging views in this regard.
Within the framework of the ‘Enhancing Competitiveness in Central Asia’ project implemented by the OECD, the work on improving access to finance for micro and SME (MSME) is ongoing. In this regard, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in cooperation with the OED and BPI France organized the ‘Improving access to finance for MSME’ forum on June 27, discussing the policy reforms and further steps to be taken by the Government.
The OECD also introduced the ‘Enhancing Competitiveness in Central Asia’ survey report on June 26 in cooperation with the Ministry of Road and Transport Development.
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